Friday, November 30, 2007

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reborn

It 'so that I do not write ... In all this time I became a member of ' ImoLUG , or Linux User Group Imola & Faenza.
For the uninitiated a LUG (Linux User Group = Linux Users Group) is a cultural association formed by fans and even newcomers to the simple operating system, just Linux.In this association we care to bring to the attention of other people 's existence of a free operating system, or without a license fee and also a philosophy, the philosophy of open source (= open source) which is the basis of this system.

sull'ImoLUG Come to find out more, visit the link in the right section or go on www.imolug.org

Yes. I did. After being at the Linux Day Granarolo Faentino .... (Love is bringing me x) I raised my laptop.
How? Well, nothing like Frankenstein (including the version of Mel Brooks) I just installed one of the many distributions (see versions) that are free with various magazines (in my case Linux & C.).
I installed openSUSE 10.3 and I am very pleased.
He recognized everything, absolutely EVERYTHING without any specific driver. He acknowledged
:

Integrated 10/100/1000 network adapter built-in wireless card

analog modem integrated video card (ATI Mobility Radeon 9600)
integrated webcam

What's more trouble-free set has the resolution of the LCD 17 "1440x900 as it should be.
I installed the impossible in terms of packages software (which you choose upon installation). A total of 6GB!
I would point out to non-experts with Windows during installation installs only what rigurda windows. with Linux I have installed the entire suite OpenOffice, open source version similar in Microsoft Office.
The handset has a feature that basically emulates HyperThreading CPU 2 when physically there is only 1.
Well, Linux runs without any problems. In addition, the cooling fan works much less than when mounted windows.
Last but not least, with several drawers and USB external drives connected to USB ports I installed (the technical term to say that I did see a linux disk) all external drives that I had with windows.
The nice thing is that I did not have to do anything except plug the USB connector! Linux has done the rest.
Note: mounted without problems NTFS5 partition of Windows XP.

Unfortunately I can not completely divest itself of Windows, also because I have some programs (Access, AutoCAD, etc. ..) and for linux there are or not, however, are so advanced .... but fear not ... as someone once said: "the impossible already I do, I'm gearing up for the miracles. "
VIVA LINUX.


Hello, you next time.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

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QF Tecla (QFTEC)

Tecla seems to regain normalcy after the conclusion of the tender offer and subsequent price correction.

seems to want to resume growth following a parabolic of the two channels shown.

E 'ncessario act with caution because in this period, the price Auction is manipulated by large monetary donations that keep the price point and nailed between 560 and 590.

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Intesa San Paolo (ISP.MI)

I came from the title 5.355 due to perforation of the trendline in the past weeks, where prices have reached a minimum of 5.05.

I took advantage of the pullback to close on a free position that was showing signs of uncertainty.

Previously I wrote: (02/11/2007)
Segnalo of fantastic graphics of the title Intesa San Paolo that seems to have rebounded on the trend-line long term. Around 5.30 is an excellent purchase at least until there is a sign that the trend has changed direction.

are long title in 5.27 from November 2.

Monday, November 26, 2007

2 Days Late And High Soft Cervix

QF Value Global Real Estate (QFVIG)

Value Global Real Estate seems to have a good support at an altitude of 4100 where they cross three major trendlines. The pullback in

expect around 4150 to enter.

Saturday, November 24, 2007

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QF Realty One (QFUNO)

await the test of long-term trendline at about € 2330 which should confirm the continuation of growth.

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QF Securfondo (QFSEC)

Securfondo has a round side and is half of its trading range.

are out of the way waiting for best signals.

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QF Nextra Real Estate Europe (QFNIE)

Nextra Immboliare Europe has a round virtually identical to each other in the same closed-end fund manager Nextra real estate development.

The fund, after reaching the top after the speculative bubble of the various takeover bids, is distributing and seems to want to attest to the lowest values. Quote

1800 should be the first goal at the static strength red.

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QF Caravaggio (QFCAR)

Caravaggio side trip in a broad trading range between 2400 and 2800 €.

awaits to 2450 € to make short-term trading.

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QF BNL Real Estate Portfolio (QFBPI)

correction BNL Real Estate Portfolio may stop at an altitude of 2290 near the intersection of the static resistance trendline green and red. I look forward to keeping

€ 2,290 to enter.

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QF Beta (QFBET)

A fee € 1283 Fund Real Estate Closed Beta could be a static and reposition themselves to share 1240.

will be important to check the tightness of 1240 €.

They are currently out of the bottom as the discount NAV is between the exchange price is not the best.

Sunday, November 18, 2007

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QF Real Estate Portfolio Growth (QFPIC)

Analyzes the Andaman closed real estate fund of Real Estate Portfolio Growth , as many traders (including myself) are increasing in recent days.

The fund has in fact a limited useful life left in just over a year is going to be repaid.

The assumptions are that the redemption price is higher than today's stock prices, but since this is far from certain (being, inter alia, the first real estate fund closed due to expire) the uncertainty is reflected in stock market with a lower price that reflects the risk-taking by trader.

Looking at the chart you can see how the trend is slightly negative in the short, so who would expect the increase will lower the channel ( red in figure) and enter at lower rates.

E ', however, likely that this channel is broken sharply up or down at the end of December 2007, the deadline for the confirmation of the hypothesis of a refund. Upwards in case of repayment in 2008, down in the case of three-year extension of the deadline.

I will try to improve in the coming days € 3180.

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AS Roma (ASR.MI)

It 's interesting graph of AS Roma : seen in linear scale seems the title from the market inefficient and the pattern absolutely erratic and unreliable. One of those titles that WD Gann suggested to discard.

place instead in logarithmic scale strongly here that the trend turns, becomes harmonious, and our beloved show the parabolic involute.

studying the chart is seen as AS Roma's periodic moments of frenetic activity concentrated in a few days of trading. This is probably due to the performance of the football league where the outcome is related to the title. Nevertheless, the price has remained within the involute dish, which for us is a good sign of reliability.

operating signal for those who wish to enter, is to wait 5-6 months for prices to reach room close to the trendline, then shop around to € 0.6 to 0.7. Once in the title, you should be ready with the order of sale in case of sudden increases, as shown in the figure by the green line .

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QF Alpha Realty (QFAL)

manipulations on the title of last week have brought the real estate fund in a closed Alpha overbought situation with respect to its natural trend evidenced by the evolving parabolic shape.

If the market support should fail in the coming weeks, the price could go into free fall and bring them back close to the trendline. Quote € 3340 would be a good place to enter the fund or increase.

Conversely, those who already hold the title in the portfolio can only await the development of the situation, putting into account a possible correction of 'about 8% (from 3600 to 3300).

Saturday, November 17, 2007

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QF Investietico (QFINV)

turn my attention to Investietico closed real estate fund, which has some good fundamentals as well as good graphics setup that I am going to analyze.

The fund has come out with violence by a linear channel ( red in figure) and is preparing to test its like 1x2 ( green in the figure) at an altitude of 2050 €.

The importance of this level is confirmed by the presence of the static support of equal value ( purple in the figure).

The most important training I think, however, the parabolic wedge (black figure), representing a classic non-linear analysis. The narrowing of the wedge, the higher the pressure on prices, usually followed by perforation of the canal to the outside of the wedge (upward in this case).

In summary, the signal is operating at 2050 € buy-keeping two supports.

Friday, November 16, 2007

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Unicredito

analysis I, too, although a bit unusual, Unicredito title.

bring prices on a logarithmic scale, you can draw a nearly perfect parabola (6 contact points) that acts as a resistance to the top of the chart.

itself allows me to identify other identical parallel parables that divide the graph of Unicredito in three distinct zones: zone pricing " high", " average" and "low .

What I can deduce is that, because of recent news on the title, the prices have made an adjustment moving heavy zone "high" to "low", but potentially still remaining in the growing trend . It 'important to make sure in the days following a possible re-test fee of 4.8-5.0. If you were to take would be a good sign that would indicate the resumption of growth.

more or less the same conclusion (albeit from different premises) that are found in this analysis Unicredito made by John Solis in his blog.

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Index QF

The final abandonment of the parabolic channel reported in the previous post (see below) and the tracking of a new period of at least allow me to find a new channel, linear time, that seems to drive the growth of ' Index QF after the abrupt correction of post-bubble OPA.

It 's interesting to note that the slope of the trendline is identified it can be found in many other areas of the chart (which I outlined to avoid confusion) as to confirm the correctness of the time factor.

From an operational standpoint, the signal is still waiting: it is convenient to wait for the chart again close to the trendline to confirm the channel and to obtain input prices slightly lower.

Thursday November 1, 2007

I created an index of real estate funds sector the Italian stock exchange, simply by the historical average of percentage changes of each fund.

The analysis of this index allows me to understand the general situation of real estate funds (FF) and take the right trading strategies for individual funds.

In this case the analysis is fairly negative. The index breached the curve that has accompanied her during the growth period in OPA and looks set to get even a 5-10% at least until you reach the other curve that would be long-term resistance.

QF My strategy for now is: stay out for a few months until the movement of the adjustment is completed and a new trend is identified accurately.

This does not mean that we can still invest in any particular way, as the FF are quite decorrelated with each other. In general, however, the sign is to be the window.

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Nextra Real Estate Development

I'm trying to get at a good price from the closed real estate fund Nextra Real Estate Development.

The reason, as shown in the chart on the left, is that it has breached an important trend-line to the parabolic rise, foreshadowing future heavy corrections.

The chart on the right I have given some simple linear trend-line, which are all sisters between them. By this I mean that the angular coefficients of these lines are all derived from the same time factor that is the famous Time Factor so often quoted by WD Gann. The steeper lines are of the type 2x1, 1x1 type of the less steep.

This serves to identify important support and resistance lines that affect the title in his zigzagging seemingly at random. In my opinion prices will move towards the intersection of the two trend-line as indicated by the blue arrow, since this is a powerful attractor very .

As I held the title at an average price of 2108 €, I prefer to go out and expect that prices will fall around 2150 € to eventually return.

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Olinda

I increased my position on Olinda with the purchase of other lots for the price of € 534. The reason

Omra should be clear to my readers: the fund seems to continue its growth dall'evolvente dish being guided by long-held and has demonstrated the same last week.

There is little to say except that it is a good opportunity to buy at this point in the graph. The buy signal in practice is called.

Saturday, November 10, 2007

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SP 500 (U.S. stocks)


Some considerations on the S & P 500 U.S. stock market allows us to understand the delicate situation in equity markets and the possible risks.

The graph displayed in the picture is wide logaritimica very strong, that because the strong compression of the price scale can bring out the real underlying trend that moves the market.

In this case we see how the growth of the U.S. stock market has been accompanied by a trend line very accurately, by none other than 1984. This trendline has never been violated, not even during the various historical stock market collapse. This leads me to believe that in future this trend line will continue to do its job support and attractor.

While history repeats itself and that no else is nothing new under the sun (WD Gann) then I must note that the S & P 500 should periodically test the line and now it's been a long long time the last test.

I also note that the index indicates a strong overbought (ie the vast distance from the trendline) and how close to the historic high of 2000 which could prove a key factor in triggering a reversal in the trend and cause a significant drop Index (my estimate is 35%).

Updated: analyzing the graph more short-term and taking into account the downward force of attraction, the index may exit the channel upward flight is located in and test the low of the downward channel. And 'action also likely pullback that the index would go up again as if to give the impression of wanting to resume growth. It will be important to monitor this movement as it could be a sign of a new bear phase for the U.S. stock market.


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Mibtel

In these days of subprime crisis and skyrocketing oil I am going to analyze our index Mibtel to see if all these bad news is the beginning of a new bear phase or are just a retracement.

analyzing the trendline that has guided the growth of the Italian stock exchange last we see how we arrived at a crossroads. The value of the index is right on the trendline at an altitude of 30,009.

The signal that we get is:
  • Monday November 12 if the index recovers the collapse this week, then you will bounce on the trendline, and we can keep our open long positions on the various securities index .
  • but if the value of the index close on November 12 would be below the trend line (value 30,000) then the signal that the trend is reversed and that all this bad news has already triggered the "panic selling". For us it will be the last chance to emerge unscathed from the open positions.

Sunday, November 4, 2007

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Luxottica (LUX.MI)

Another interesting title of the position is Luxottica, which is these days to test a dish of long-term trendline.

The accuracy of this trendline is confirmed by the fact that we can move it and restore it as a trendline resistance forming a parabolic channel full and well defined.

It 's interesting to note that the identification of these channels parabolic so precise you can only do so on a scale of Price strongly logarithmic . The term "strongly logarithmic" I mean that the logarithm function is applied on the price several times, until the shape of the graph is stable and does not change. This is a trick that I discovered over the years and apply it consistently with some success. To do this using a mathematical software that I wrote specifically, and that also allowed me to trace the various curves on the graphs.

Luxottica To return to the title, around 23.5 is a good buy.

Saturday, November 3, 2007

Black Flakes In Water Pipes

Valeria Insurance (VAS.MI)

The story of Valeria Insurance is very similar to that Cembre of which I reviewed recently, but also to many other titles in the Mibtel that in this period have broken a major long-term trendline.

Such an infringement is not always a signal to ignore. At the very least indicates that the long-term trend has changed and that new factors have intervened.

do not know if the title will mark the new minimum and then start again with a more moderate slope, or if you open a new phase bear, but in any case, you should get out of position, the limit can return to a lower level by decreasing the price drop.


(valeria short-term insurance)

In the short term the title seems to follow a parabolic channel descend under the influence of which could travel at the side for a few months. It 'probably rather a movement of pull-back towards the broken trendline, which could represent a last chance to exit for those who had not already done so. Segnalo

Friday, November 2, 2007

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And now I'm in too ..... I

I resisted as I could, but I had to give way. Yes, I have also entered the world of blogs. I have conformed to the mass.
I, even I, who have always looked down on "those who created the blog. But after seeing that one of my old friends (now ex) that he never knew nothing about computers has made his blog, I said; " WAKE UP! "
and here I am. ..... We hope for good
the next.

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Cembre (CMB.MI)

a title from which out that is proving to act as a textbook .

This Cembre , that after a period of glorious fortune seems to have ended its harmonious growth.

We see from the first two graphs in the second on a logarithmic scale to show how the scaling often confirm the same movement identified by the involute dishes on a linear scale, but with greater precision.


(December on a linear scale)


(December on a logarithmic scale)

behavior textbook you can see if you look at the top of the 10.80 title fee. After a brief phase of price increases from real bubble, followed by a phase distribution at the top where the maximum after 2-3 failed to overcome the first.

end signal distribution and phase start the bear has been a breach of the trend-line at an altitude of about 7.4. Who was not released on this occasion he had one last chance when prices have again tested the trend line at 7.64 in the meantime had become a base for resistance.



It 's very likely that the title up to 50% retracements of the top, ie at 5.45 where there seems to be the first area of \u200b\u200bsupport.