Analyzes the Andaman closed real estate fund of Real Estate Portfolio Growth , as many traders (including myself) are increasing in recent days. The fund has in fact a limited useful life left in just over a year is going to be repaid.
The assumptions are that the redemption price is higher than today's stock prices, but since this is far from certain (being, inter alia, the first real estate fund closed due to expire) the uncertainty is reflected in stock market with a lower price that reflects the risk-taking by trader.
Looking at the chart you can see how the trend is slightly negative in the short, so who would expect the increase will lower the channel ( red in figure) and enter at lower rates.
E ', however, likely that this channel is broken sharply up or down at the end of December 2007, the deadline for the confirmation of the hypothesis of a refund. Upwards in case of repayment in 2008, down in the case of three-year extension of the deadline.
I will try to improve in the coming days € 3180.
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